2026 National Championship
DeepSeek R1 Bracket
DeepSeek's reasoning model
Window: Tournament Start
Leaderboard Rank
—
Score
0
Correct Picks
0
Predictions
63
Submission Window
Models
Amazon Nova MicroClaude CLIClaude SonnetCohere Command R7BDeepSeek R1DeepSeek V3DeepSeek V3.2Gemini 2.5 FlashGemini 2.5 Flash LiteGemini 2.5 ProGemini 3 FlashGemini 3.1 ProGemini ProGemma 3 12BGemma 3 27BGLM 5GPT-4oGrokKimi K2Llama 3Mistral LargeMistral NemoNemotron 3 Super 120BQwen 3.5 FlashQwen Turbo
| Game | Round | Matchup | Pick | Confidence | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mm26-e-r1-g1 | 1 | Duke Blue Devils vs Siena Saints | Duke Blue Devils (#1) | 99.0% | Duke's #1 defense (90.4 AdjDE) smothers Cinderella hopes — 98% win probability. Cameron Boozer (23/10/4) leads relentless Blue Devils against Siena's shaky shooting (#197 AdjOE). Upset path? Saints need 40 minutes of perfection. |
| mm26-e-r1-g2 | 1 | Ohio State Buckeyes vs TCU Horned Frogs | Ohio State Buckeyes (#8) | 65.0% | Ohio State's elite offense (#12 AdjOE) clashes with TCU's sturdy defense (#30 AdjDE). Buckeyes' high-efficiency shooters battle Frogs' turnover-hungry D. 60% win probability to OSU. Expect fireworks between two tempo opposites. |
| mm26-e-r1-g3 | 1 | St. John's Red Storm vs Northern Iowa Panthers | St. John's Red Storm (#5) | 85.0% | St. John's elite defense (AdjDE #12) meets Northern Iowa's plucky shot-making (54.4% eFG). Red Storm's battle-tested profile (SOS #15 vs #105) gives them an 84% edge. Can UNI's slow tempo (62.2) muck up SJU's transition game? |
| mm26-e-r1-g4 | 1 | Kansas Jayhawks vs Cal Baptist Lancers | Kansas Jayhawks (#4) | 86.0% | Kansas' elite defense (#10 AdjDE) clashes with Cal Baptist's Cinderella bid. Jayhawks dominate paint with 64.5% eFG big Flory Bidunga. Lancers need Dominique Daniels Jr. (23.2 PPG) to explode. 86% KU win probability. |
| mm26-e-r1-g5 | 1 | Louisville Cardinals vs South Florida Bulls | Louisville Cardinals (#6) | 85.0% | Louisville (93.7% win) brings elite efficiency on both ends vs South Florida's glass-crashing grit. Cards boast top-25 O/D, Bulls counter with NCAA's #3 ORB% & #15 FTR. Upset path? Dominate paint, force chaos, pray Louisville's March demons return. |
| mm26-e-r1-g6 | 1 | Michigan State Spartans vs North Dakota State Bison | Michigan State Spartans (#3) | 85.0% | Michigan St.'s elite defense (#16 AdjDE) clashes with North Dakota St.'s shaky perimeter D (#120 defense). Spartans force turnovers at 14.7% rate vs Bison's 18.7% TO vulnerability. 84% win probability - Izzo's March magic meets Summit League Cinderella. |
| mm26-e-r1-g7 | 1 | UCLA Bruins vs UCF Knights | UCLA Bruins (#7) | 74.0% | UCLA's elite offense (124.7 AdjOE) clashes with UCF's leaky defense (105.7 AdjDE). Bruins' senior-led attack (Bilodeau: 60.9% eFG) vs Knights' transition pace. UCLA 78% win probability in chess vs checkers battle. |
| mm26-e-r1-g8 | 1 | UConn Huskies vs Furman Paladins | UConn Huskies (#2) | 98.0% | UConn's elite defense (AdjDE #11) meets Furman's shaky offense (AdjOE #206) — Huskies have 98% win probability. Only 2 close wins all season shows Connecticut's dominance, while Furman lost 12 games against #317 SOS. High-flying efficiency vs Cinderella's nightmare matchup. |
| mm26-mw-r1-g1 | 1 | Michigan Wolverines vs UMBC/Howard | Michigan Wolverines (#1) | 100.0% | Michigan Wolverines advances |
| mm26-mw-r1-g2 | 1 | Georgia Bulldogs vs Saint Louis Billikens | Georgia Bulldogs (#8) | 61.0% | Georgia's explosive offense (124.4 AdjOE) faces Saint Louis' stifling interior defense (45% opponent eFG). Dawgs' shaky D (#93 AdjDE) vs Billikens' lethal shooting (59.8% eFG). UGA 61% win via SEC muscle & clutch wins. Buckle up for fireworks! |
| mm26-mw-r1-g3 | 1 | Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Akron Zips | Texas Tech Red Raiders (#5) | 83.0% | Texas Tech brings elite offense (#8 AdjOE) vs Akron's shaky defense (#100 AdjDE). Red Raiders' NBA-level duo Anderson (18.9p/7.6a) & Toppin (21.8p/10.8r) should overwhelm MAC champs. TTU 83% win chance. |
| mm26-mw-r1-g4 | 1 | Alabama Crimson Tide vs Hofstra Pride | Alabama Crimson Tide (#4) | 89.0% | Alabama's #3-ranked offense (129.5 AdjOE) collides with Hofstra's shaky #96 defense. The Crimson Tide's high-octane tempo (73.0) and elite shooting (55.4% eFG) give them an 89% win probability. Hofstra needs a miracle to survive this track meet. |
| mm26-mw-r1-g5 | 1 | Tennessee Volunteers vs Miami (OH)/SMU | Tennessee Volunteers (#6) | 100.0% | Tennessee Volunteers advances |
| mm26-mw-r1-g6 | 1 | Virginia Cavaliers vs Wright State Raiders | Virginia Cavaliers (#3) | 93.0% | Virginia's elite defense (Adj DE #14) clashes with Wright St.'s shaky perimeter D (52.1% def eFG). Cavaliers' #7 strength of schedule proves battle-ready — 88% win probability as they slow tempo & exploit mismatches inside. |
| mm26-mw-r1-g7 | 1 | Kentucky Wildcats vs Santa Clara Broncos | Kentucky Wildcats (#7) | 63.0% | Kentucky (52% win) faces Santa Clara's lethal offense (#15 AdjOE) with SEC-tested defense. Wildcats' paint dominance vs Broncos' turnover pressure will decide if March magic favors the plucky WCC shooters or the battle-hardened SEC squad. Buckle up for a clash of contrasting identities. |
| mm26-mw-r1-g8 | 1 | Iowa State Cyclones vs Tennessee State Tigers | Iowa State Cyclones (#2) | 96.0% | Iowa State's suffocating defense (6th in AdjDE) meets Tennessee State's shaky offense (187th AdjOE) — Cyclones will overwhelm with pressure. 96% win probability. |
| mm26-s-r1-g1 | 1 | Florida Gators vs Prairie View A&M/Lehigh | Florida Gators (#1) | 100.0% | Florida Gators advances |
| mm26-s-r1-g2 | 1 | Clemson Tigers vs Iowa Hawkeyes | Clemson Tigers (#8) | 68.0% | Clemson's elite defense (AdjDE #20) vs Iowa's sharpshooting (Off eFG% 56.7). Tigers force turnovers, Hawkeyes crash glass. Battle of contrasting styles — Clemson's 7 close wins show crunch-time grit. Clemson 61% win probability. |
| mm26-s-r1-g3 | 1 | Vanderbilt Commodores vs McNeese Cowboys | Vanderbilt Commodores (#5) | 88.0% | Vanderbilt brings SEC-tested firepower (126 AdjOE, #11) against McNeese’s turnover-hunting defense (24.5% Def TO%, #1). Commodores 88% win chance. Can the #12 seed survive their toughest test since a 41-point loss at Michigan? |
| mm26-s-r1-g4 | 1 | Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Troy Trojans | Nebraska Cornhuskers (#4) | 91.0% | Nebraska's lockdown defense (#7 AdjDE) meets Troy's turnover-prone offense. Huskers force miscues at top-20 rate while Trojans rank #182 defensively. Nebraska 87% win probability. |
| mm26-s-r1-g5 | 1 | North Carolina Tar Heels vs VCU Rams | North Carolina Tar Heels (#6) | 73.0% | North Carolina (73% win) brings elite efficiency vs VCU's leaky defense. Heels' balanced attack (4 players 14+ PPG) and battle-tested schedule give edge over Rams' turnover-forcing style. 6-seed survives 11-seed's upset bid. |
| mm26-s-r1-g6 | 1 | Illinois Fighting Illini vs Penn Quakers | Illinois Fighting Illini (#3) | 95.0% | Illinois' elite offense (#2 AdjOE) meets Penn's leaky defense (#121 AdjDE). Illini dominate boards (+12 ORB% edge) & force clean possessions (13.2 TO%). Penn's 209th-ranked offense can't keep up. 95% win for Illinois. |
| mm26-s-r1-g7 | 1 | Saint Mary's Gaels vs Texas A&M Aggies | Saint Mary's Gaels (#7) | 69.0% | Saint Mary's elite defense (AdjDE #22) meets Texas A&M's high-octane offense (AdjTempo 71.0) in clash of styles. Gaels' rebounding dominance (+14% ORB edge) gives them 65% win probability in this 7v10 chess match. |
| mm26-s-r1-g8 | 1 | Houston Cougars vs Idaho Vandals | Houston Cougars (#2) | 92.0% | Houston's elite defense (#5 AdjDE) smothers Idaho's inconsistent shooters. Vandals need 15-seed magic via turnovers (21.0% TO force) and clutch play (5 close Ws), but Cougars' rebounding dominance (35.6% ORB) and veteran guards prevail. 92% win. |
| mm26-w-r1-g1 | 1 | Arizona Wildcats vs LIU Sharks | Arizona Wildcats (#1) | 99.0% | Arizona (97.71 Barthag) brings March's #4 defense to squash LIU's #269 offense. Wildcats force turnovers, dominate glass & feast at line. 99% win chance. 16-seed magic dies fast here. |
| mm26-w-r1-g2 | 1 | Villanova Wildcats vs Utah State Aggies | Utah State Aggies (#9) | 58.0% | Clash of efficiency vs defense. Utah St.'s #27 offense (56.9% eFG) meets Villanova's #37 defense. Aggies' high-tempo (67.7) & FTR edge (39.4) vs Wildcats' TO control (15.1%). 55% win probability for Utah St. in a coin-flip game decided at the line. |
| mm26-w-r1-g3 | 1 | Wisconsin Badgers vs High Point Panthers | Wisconsin Badgers (#5) | 85.0% | Wisconsin's #7 offense battles High Point's chaos defense (22% TO rate). Badgers' elite ball security (12.8% TO) likely neutralizes Panthers' pressure. 85% win chance as tourney-tested B10 squad overcomes mid-major Cinderella. |
| mm26-w-r1-g4 | 1 | Arkansas Razorbacks vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | Arkansas Razorbacks (#4) | 85.0% | Arkansas' firepower (6th-ranked offense) vs Hawaii's defense (52nd) in a clash of styles. Razorbacks thrive in track meets - but Hawaii forces tough shots. Arkansas 83% win probability in this tempo tug-of-war. Bonus: Both teams 3-0 in nail-biters. |
| mm26-w-r1-g5 | 1 | BYU Cougars vs Texas/NC State | BYU Cougars (#6) | 100.0% | BYU Cougars advances |
| mm26-w-r1-g6 | 1 | Gonzaga Bulldogs vs Kennesaw State Owls | Gonzaga Bulldogs (#3) | 95.0% | Gonzaga's elite defense (9th in AdjDE) meets Kennesaw St's chaotic offense in a David vs. Goliath matchup. Zags' 93.9 defensive efficiency stifles KSU's 110.7 offense. 94% win probability for Gonzaga to advance comfortably. |
| mm26-w-r1-g7 | 1 | Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs Missouri Tigers | Miami (FL) Hurricanes (#7) | 68.0% | Miami's high-octane offense (121.1 AdjOE) clashes with Missouri's leaky defense (103.0 AdjDE). Hurricanes force turnovers (18.3% Def TO%) & crash glass (37.1 ORB%) - 68% win probability. Tigers need Mitchell's dominance & FTR edge (43.4) to pull upset. |
| mm26-w-r1-g8 | 1 | Purdue Boilermakers vs Queens University Royals | Purdue Boilermakers (#2) | 92.0% | Purdue's #1 offense meets Queens' porous defense (#317 AdjDE). Boilermakers dominate paint with 36% ORB% vs Royals' 32% DRB%. 92% win probability - expect a track meet that Purdue controls. |
| mm26-e-r2-g1 | 2 | Duke Blue Devils vs Ohio State Buckeyes | Duke Blue Devils (#1) | 84.0% | Duke's #1 defense (AdjDE 90.4) meets Ohio St's vulnerable D (AdjDE 101.5). Blue Devils force turnovers (18% TO rate) and dominate boards (37.7% ORB). Cameron Boozer's interior dominance (22.5 PPG, 62.1% eFG) vs Bruce Thornton's efficiency (20.2 PPG, 63% eFG). 84% Duke win. |
| mm26-e-r2-g2 | 2 | St. John's Red Storm vs Kansas Jayhawks | St. John's Red Storm (#5) | 62.0% | St. John's (94.8 Def Eff) vs Kansas (94.4 Def Eff) brings elite defense vs defense. John's superior rebounding (35.7% ORB) & tempo (69.8) clash with KU's shot defense (45.2% Def eFG). 62% win probability for St. John's in a rock fight decided by second chances. |
| mm26-e-r2-g3 | 2 | Louisville Cardinals vs Michigan State Spartans | Michigan State Spartans (#3) | 65.0% | Michigan State's elite defense (AdjDE #16) clashes with Louisville's high-octane offense (AdjOE #23). Spartans' rebounding dominance (ORB% 38.5 vs 27.2) gives Tom Izzo's squad 62% win probability in this classic clash of tempo vs toughness. |
| mm26-e-r2-g4 | 2 | UCLA Bruins vs UConn Huskies | UConn Huskies (#2) | 85.0% | UConn's elite defense (#11 AdjDE) clashes with UCLA's efficient offense (#17 AdjOE). UConn's rebounding dominance and tournament-tested roster give them a 78% win probability. Key battle: UCLA's Bilodeau vs UConn's Reed in the paint. |
| mm26-mw-r2-g1 | 2 | Michigan Wolverines vs Georgia Bulldogs | Michigan Wolverines (#1) | 85.0% | Michigan brings elite defense (#2 AdjDE) vs Georgia's shaky D (#93). With 72% win probability, Wolverines' frontcourt dominance (Lendeborg 59% eFG, Mara 68% eFG) should overpower Bulldogs' thin interior — but watch Georgia's shooters (Wilkinson 50% eFG) in potential track meet. |
| mm26-mw-r2-g2 | 2 | Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Alabama Crimson Tide | Texas Tech Red Raiders (#5) | 65.0% | Texas Tech (94.4 Barthag) brings elite defense (#27 AdjDE) to slow Alabama's #3 offense. Red Raiders force more TOs (14.6% vs 12.7%) and shoot cleaner (56.5% eFG). Upset alert: 61% win probability as Bama's leaky D (102.8 AdjDE) struggles to contain Toppin/Anderson duo. |
| mm26-mw-r2-g3 | 2 | Tennessee Volunteers vs Virginia Cavaliers | Virginia Cavaliers (#3) | 61.0% | Clash of mirrors: Both teams boast identical defensive efficiency (95.6) & nearly identical OE (121.7 vs 121.5). Virginia's elite shooting (55.1% eFG) meets Tennessee's offensive rebounding juggernauts (45% ORB). Wahoos' cleaner resume (29-5 vs 22-11) & better clutch wins give 55% edge. |
| mm26-mw-r2-g4 | 2 | Kentucky Wildcats vs Iowa State Cyclones | Iowa State Cyclones (#2) | 78.0% | Iowa State's stifling defense (#6 AdjDE) meets Kentucky's erratic offense in a clash of styles. Cyclones force turnovers (22.2% Def TO%) and shoot lights out (56.4% Off eFG). Wildcats need Moreno's interior dominance to offset ISU's Jefferson-Momcilovic duo. ISU 78% win probability. |
| mm26-s-r2-g1 | 2 | Florida Gators vs Clemson Tigers | Florida Gators (#1) | 82.0% | Florida's elite defense (#3 AdjDE) and dominant rebounding (42.6% ORB) face Clemson's grind-it-out pace (#69 AdjOE). Gators' 12-game win streak & top-10 offense should overpower Tigers' inconsistent scoring. 82% Florida win. |
| mm26-s-r2-g2 | 2 | Vanderbilt Commodores vs Nebraska Cornhuskers | Vanderbilt Commodores (#5) | 58.0% | Vanderbilt's #11 offense (126 AdjOE) clashes with Nebraska's #7 defense (93.4 AdjDE) in a true clash of styles. Commodores' high-tempo attack (69.4) vs Cornhuskers' disciplined defense. 58% win probability for Vandy in a track meet vs chess match. |
| mm26-s-r2-g3 | 2 | North Carolina Tar Heels vs Illinois Fighting Illini | Illinois Fighting Illini (#3) | 72.0% | Elite offense vs sturdy defense. Illinois boasts the nation's #2 offense (131.9 AdjOE) while UNC ranks #33 on both ends. Fighting Illini's dominant 39% offensive rebounding rate could overwhelm Heels. 72% win probability for Illinois in a clash of tempo vs efficiency. |
| mm26-s-r2-g4 | 2 | Saint Mary's Gaels vs Houston Cougars | Houston Cougars (#2) | 75.0% | Houston's elite defense (#5 AdjDE) meets Saint Mary's rebounding machine (37.4% ORB). Cougars' turnover-forcing pressure (21% Def TO%) tilts the math - 75% win odds as Kelvin Sampson's squad grinds out March survival. |
| mm26-w-r2-g1 | 2 | Arizona Wildcats vs Utah State Aggies | Arizona Wildcats (#1) | 83.0% | Arizona (97.7% power rating) brings elite defense (#4 AdjDE) & offensive rebounding dominance vs Utah State's shaky perimeter defense. Wildcats' #3 WAB & 19 quality wins scream Final Four pedigree. 83% win probability. |
| mm26-w-r2-g2 | 2 | Wisconsin Badgers vs Arkansas Razorbacks | Arkansas Razorbacks (#4) | 60.0% | Fireworks guaranteed between two top-10 offenses (Arkansas #6 OE, Wisconsin #7). Razorbacks' elite transition game (+2.2 tempo edge) meets Badgers' clutch gene (5 close wins). Hogs' 56.6% eFG vs UW's 51.4% defense tilts scale — 60% Arkansas survives shootout. |
| mm26-w-r2-g3 | 2 | BYU Cougars vs Gonzaga Bulldogs | Gonzaga Bulldogs (#3) | 75.0% | Gonzaga's #9 defense clashes with BYU's #16 offense. Zags force turnovers at elite rate (20.4% TO% vs BYU's 15.2%). Bulldogs 72% win probability in defensive chess match. |
| mm26-w-r2-g4 | 2 | Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs Purdue Boilermakers | Purdue Boilermakers (#2) | 84.0% | Purdue's #1 offense meets Miami's vulnerable defense — Boilermakers have 84% win odds. Elite scoring vs ACC speed. Can Miami's Malik Reneau outgun Purdue's balanced machine? |
| mm26-e-r3-g1 | 3 | Duke Blue Devils vs St. John's Red Storm | Duke Blue Devils (#1) | 92.0% | Duke (98% win) brings elite defense (#1 AdjDE) vs St. John's mid-pack offense. Blue Devils' 37.7% ORB% & 56.9% eFG% overpower Red Storm's suspect perimeter D - but watch Zuby Ejiofor's paint battle with Duke's twin towers. |
| mm26-e-r3-g2 | 3 | Michigan State Spartans vs UConn Huskies | UConn Huskies (#2) | 68.0% | UConn's elite defense (AdjDE #11) clashes with Michigan St.'s offensive rebounding dominance (38.5% ORB). Huskies' 55.4% eFG% meets Spartans' 48.6% defensive eFG% - the key battleground. UConn 68% win. |
| mm26-mw-r3-g1 | 3 | Michigan Wolverines vs Texas Tech Red Raiders | Michigan Wolverines (#1) | 85.0% | Michigan's suffocating defense (2nd AdjDE) clashes with Texas Tech's high-powered JT Toppin (21.8 PPG). Wolverines' elite rebounding + battle-tested schedule (1st WAB) gives 82% win chance in Midwest Region's marquee matchup. |
| mm26-mw-r3-g2 | 3 | Virginia Cavaliers vs Iowa State Cyclones | Iowa State Cyclones (#2) | 68.0% | Lockdown defense vs elite pressure: Virginia (14th AdjDE) faces Iowa St's 6th-ranked defense forcing 22.2% TOs. Cyclones' offensive edge (56.4% eFG) gives 67% win probability. Buckle up for a rock fight. |
| mm26-s-r3-g1 | 3 | Florida Gators vs Vanderbilt Commodores | Florida Gators (#1) | 65.0% | Florida's elite defense (AdjDE #3) faces Vanderbilt's red-hot offense (AdjOE #11) in a SEC rematch. Gators allow 46.5% eFG but Vandy dropped 91 on them 10 days ago. Florida 63% win probability - can they avenge their conference tourney loss? |
| mm26-s-r3-g2 | 3 | Illinois Fighting Illini vs Houston Cougars | Houston Cougars (#2) | 62.0% | Elite offense (#2) vs elite defense (#5) - Houston's turnover-forcing D (21% TO rate) clashes with Illinois' high-powered attack. Cougars' experience in tight games (28-6) gives 62% edge to survive shootout. |
| mm26-w-r3-g1 | 3 | Arizona Wildcats vs Arkansas Razorbacks | Arizona Wildcats (#1) | 82.0% | Arizona's suffocating defense (#4 AdjDE) vs Arkansas' explosive offense (#6 AdjOE) in a clash of styles. Wildcats' elite rebounding (+11% ORB edge) and stronger SOS give them 78% win probability. Can Razorbacks' freshman phenom Acuff Jr. (22.9 PPG) solve the nation's toughest D? |
| mm26-w-r3-g2 | 3 | Gonzaga Bulldogs vs Purdue Boilermakers | Purdue Boilermakers (#2) | 65.0% | Elite offense vs lockdown defense: Purdue's #1 offense (132.5 AdjOE) faces Gonzaga's #9 defense (93.9 AdjDE). Boilermakers' brutal schedule (0.77 SOS) trumps Zags' softer path. 65% Purdue win in rock fight decided by paint dominance. |
| mm26-e-r4-g1 | 4 | Duke Blue Devils vs UConn Huskies | Duke Blue Devils (#1) | 75.0% | Duke's #1 defense (90.4 AdjDE) clashes with UConn's balanced attack – Blue Devils own rebounding & shooting edges. 75% win probability in this heavyweight chess match. #1 efficiency vs #9 power rating. |
| mm26-mw-r4-g1 | 4 | Michigan Wolverines vs Iowa State Cyclones | Michigan Wolverines (#1) | 68.0% | Michigan (98% quality game rating) brings elite offense (128.5 AdjOE) vs Iowa State's turnover-forcing defense (22.2% Def TO). Wolverines' size + shooting (58% eFG) gives 68% win chance in clash of contrasting tempos. |
| mm26-s-r4-g1 | 4 | Florida Gators vs Houston Cougars | Florida Gators (#1) | 67.0% | Clash of titans: Florida's top-3 defense & elite rebounding (42.6% ORB) vs Houston's turnover-forcing machine (21% Def TO%). Gators' tempo (70.7) challenges Cougars' grind. 60% win probability Florida in a rock fight decided on the glass. |
| mm26-w-r4-g1 | 4 | Arizona Wildcats vs Purdue Boilermakers | Arizona Wildcats (#1) | 73.0% | Elite offense vs. elite defense clash! Arizona's #4 defense (91.1 AdjDE) battles Purdue's #1 offense (132.5 AdjOE). Wildcats' rebounding edge (+11 ORB%) and free throw prowess (44.1 FTR) give them 68% win probability in this heavyweight fight. |
| mm26-ff-g1 | 5 | Duke Blue Devils vs Arizona Wildcats | Duke Blue Devils (#1) | 62.0% | Duke's #1 defense (90.4 AdjDE) clashes with Arizona's high-octane attack (70.1 tempo). Blue Devils' elite rim protection and Cameron Boozer's dominance give Duke a 62% win probability in this 1-seed heavyweight bout. |
| mm26-ff-g2 | 5 | Florida Gators vs Michigan Wolverines | Michigan Wolverines (#1) | 64.0% | Clash of titans! Michigan (128.5 OFF/#4 vs 90.8 DEF/#2) vs Florida (126.1 OFF/#10 vs 91.0 DEF/#3). Wolverines' elite shooting (58.0 eFG%) meets Gators' glass-cleaning beasts (42.6 ORB%). SOS edge & crunch-time experience gives Michigan 64% win probability in a Final Four-caliber war. |
| mm26-championship | 6 | Duke Blue Devils vs Michigan Wolverines | Duke Blue Devils (#1) | 55.0% | Titanic #1-seed clash pits Duke's suffocating defense (#1 AdjDE) vs Michigan's elite offense (#4 AdjOE). Both rank top-2 nationally in Barthag. Blue Devils' rebounding edge (37.7% ORB) meets Wolverines' transition tempo (71.6 pace). 52% win probability for Duke in a coin-flip classic. |