2026 National Championship

Qwen Turbo Bracket

Alibaba's fast inference model

Window: Tournament Start

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Predictions

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GameRoundMatchupPickConfidenceRationale
mm26-e-r1-g11Duke Blue Devils vs Siena SaintsDuke Blue Devils (#1)85.0%Duke's elite defense and efficiency lead to a 72% win probability against Siena's struggling offense and weak schedule.
mm26-e-r1-g21Ohio State Buckeyes vs TCU Horned FrogsOhio State Buckeyes (#8)72.0%Ohio St. leans on elite offense (AdjOE: 125.2), but TCU's defense (AdjDE: 99.6) could stop them. 72% win for Ohio St.
mm26-e-r1-g31St. John's Red Storm vs Northern Iowa PanthersSt. John's Red Storm (#5)85.0%St. John's 72% win. The defensive beast faces a low-scoring mid-major. Their elite defense and balanced offense crush underdogs.
mm26-e-r1-g41Kansas Jayhawks vs Cal Baptist LancersKansas Jayhawks (#4)72.0%Kansas is a top-10 defense with a high-octane offense, but Cal Baptist's unorthodox style could cause problems. 72% win.
mm26-e-r1-g51Louisville Cardinals vs South Florida BullsLouisville Cardinals (#6)72.0%Louisville's elite defense and balanced scoring favor a 72% win over South Florida in a tight first-round clash.
mm26-e-r1-g61Michigan State Spartans vs North Dakota State BisonMichigan State Spartans (#3)73.0%Michigan St. dominates North Dakota St. with superior defense and ball handling. 73% win probability.
mm26-e-r1-g71UCLA Bruins vs UCF KnightsUCLA Bruins (#7)72.0%UCLA's elite offense vs. UCF's shaky defense: 72% win for the Bruins. Can UCF stay close?
mm26-e-r1-g81UConn Huskies vs Furman PaladinsUConn Huskies (#2)72.0%UConn's elite defense and superior offensive efficiency make them 72% favorites against Furman's underwhelming stats.
mm26-mw-r1-g11Michigan Wolverines vs UMBC/HowardMichigan Wolverines (#1)100.0%Michigan Wolverines advances
mm26-mw-r1-g21Georgia Bulldogs vs Saint Louis BillikensSaint Louis Billikens (#9)72.0%Saint Louis' superior shooting & defense gives them a 72% edge over Georgia in a tight first-round clash.
mm26-mw-r1-g31Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Akron ZipsTexas Tech Red Raiders (#5)72.0%Texas Tech's elite offense and defense gives them a 72% shot to advance against Akron's mid-major pace. 72% win.
mm26-mw-r1-g41Alabama Crimson Tide vs Hofstra PrideAlabama Crimson Tide (#4)78.0%Alabama's elite offense and top-tier defense should dominate Hofstra, but Hofstra's high-octane tempo and perimeter shooting make it a tough out. 72% win.
mm26-mw-r1-g51Tennessee Volunteers vs Miami (OH)/SMUTennessee Volunteers (#6)100.0%Tennessee Volunteers advances
mm26-mw-r1-g61Virginia Cavaliers vs Wright State RaidersVirginia Cavaliers (#3)72.0%Virginia's elite defense and efficient offense give them a 72% edge over Wright St. in a gritty battle.
mm26-mw-r1-g71Kentucky Wildcats vs Santa Clara BroncosSanta Clara Broncos (#10)75.0%Santa Clara's high-octane offense and elite shooting could upset Kentucky's defense. 72% win
mm26-mw-r1-g81Iowa State Cyclones vs Tennessee State TigersIowa State Cyclones (#2)82.0%Iowa St. dominates with elite defense and efficient offense. 72% win. Big edge in shooting, turnover, and rebounding. Don't count out Tennessee St., but the gap is wide.
mm26-s-r1-g11Florida Gators vs Prairie View A&M/LehighFlorida Gators (#1)100.0%Florida Gators advances
mm26-s-r1-g21Clemson Tigers vs Iowa HawkeyesClemson Tigers (#8)72.0%Clemson's defense and balanced scoring give them a 72% edge over Iowa. Can the Hawkeyes slow down Clemson's offense?
mm26-s-r1-g31Vanderbilt Commodores vs McNeese CowboysVanderbilt Commodores (#5)78.0%Vanderbilt's elite offense vs McNeese's average defense creates a 72% win probability. The Commodores dominate in scoring and efficiency, while the Cowboys struggle to match their pace.
mm26-s-r1-g41Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Troy TrojansNebraska Cornhuskers (#4)72.0%Nebraska's elite defense and balanced attack give them a 72% edge over Troy. The Cornhuskers are built for tournament success.
mm26-s-r1-g51North Carolina Tar Heels vs VCU RamsNorth Carolina Tar Heels (#6)72.0%North Carolina's elite defense and balanced attack give them a 72% edge over VCU in a high-scoring slugfest.
mm26-s-r1-g61Illinois Fighting Illini vs Penn QuakersIllinois Fighting Illini (#3)72.0%Illinois' explosive offense and elite defense clash with Penn's underdog grit. 72% win. Illini favorited to advance.
mm26-s-r1-g71Saint Mary's Gaels vs Texas A&M AggiesSaint Mary's Gaels (#7)72.0%Saint Mary's has the better defense and offensive efficiency, but Texas A&M's high tempo and strong inside game could be a problem. 72% win.
mm26-s-r1-g81Houston Cougars vs Idaho VandalsHouston Cougars (#2)76.0%Houston's elite defense and experience crush Idaho's weak offense. 72% win. The Cougars dominate inside, while the Vandals struggle to stay competitive.
mm26-w-r1-g11Arizona Wildcats vs LIU SharksArizona Wildcats (#1)85.0%Arizona's elite defense and balanced offense give them a 72% chance to advance. LIU's shaky shooting and weak schedule make it hard to see an upset.
mm26-w-r1-g21Villanova Wildcats vs Utah State AggiesUtah State Aggies (#9)59.0%Utah State's high-octane offense and elite SOS give them a 59% edge over Villanova in this West Region clash.
mm26-w-r1-g31Wisconsin Badgers vs High Point PanthersWisconsin Badgers (#5)75.0%Wisconsin's strong defense and elite offense make them a 72% favorite over High Point, who struggle on the boards and in turnovers.
mm26-w-r1-g41Arkansas Razorbacks vs Hawaii Rainbow WarriorsArkansas Razorbacks (#4)72.0%Arkansas' elite offense and dominant defense give them a 72% edge over Hawaii in a mismatch that could end in a blowout.
mm26-w-r1-g51BYU Cougars vs Texas/NC StateBYU Cougars (#6)100.0%BYU Cougars advances
mm26-w-r1-g61Gonzaga Bulldogs vs Kennesaw State OwlsGonzaga Bulldogs (#3)82.0%Gonzaga's dominance is too much for Kennesaw State. 72% win. The Zags' elite defense and offensive efficiency will stifle the Owls.
mm26-w-r1-g71Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs Missouri TigersMiami (FL) Hurricanes (#7)72.0%Miami's balanced attack and elite defense give them a 72% edge over Missouri. Can they handle the Tigers' shooting and interior presence?
mm26-w-r1-g81Purdue Boilermakers vs Queens University RoyalsPurdue Boilermakers (#2)88.0%Purdue's elite offense and defense gives them a 72% edge over Queens. Experience vs. inexperience, efficiency vs. inconsistency.
mm26-e-r2-g12Duke Blue Devils vs Ohio State BuckeyesDuke Blue Devils (#1)72.0%Duke's elite defense and balanced offense give them 72% win chance against Ohio State's inconsistent attack.
mm26-e-r2-g22St. John's Red Storm vs Kansas JayhawksSt. John's Red Storm (#5)72.0%St. John's looks like a 72% favorite against Kansas, fueled by elite defense and a high-octane offense. The Red Storm's balance and depth could be too much for the underdog Jayhawks.
mm26-e-r2-g32Louisville Cardinals vs Michigan State SpartansMichigan State Spartans (#3)72.0%Louisville's explosive offense faces Michigan St.'s elite defense in a high-stakes 72% win for the Spartans.
mm26-e-r2-g42UCLA Bruins vs UConn HuskiesUConn Huskies (#2)78.0%UConn's elite defense and balanced attack give them a 72% edge over UCLA. The Huskies thrive in tight games, while UCLA struggles with consistency.
mm26-mw-r2-g12Michigan Wolverines vs Saint Louis BillikensMichigan Wolverines (#1)77.0%Michigan's elite defense and high-octane offense give them 72% win probability vs Saint Louis. The Wolverines' balanced attack and elite efficiency should overwhelm the Billikens.
mm26-mw-r2-g22Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Alabama Crimson TideAlabama Crimson Tide (#4)74.0%Alabama's offensive efficiency and higher tempo give them a 74% edge over Texas Tech in a high-octane showdown.
mm26-mw-r2-g32Tennessee Volunteers vs Virginia CavaliersVirginia Cavaliers (#3)72.0%Virginia's elite defense and shooting edge out Tennessee in a tight battle. 72% win for the Cavaliers.
mm26-mw-r2-g42Santa Clara Broncos vs Iowa State CyclonesIowa State Cyclones (#2)76.0%Iowa State's elite defense and higher efficiency give them a 76% win probability against Santa Clara's efficient offense.
mm26-s-r2-g12Florida Gators vs Clemson TigersFlorida Gators (#1)75.0%Florida's elite defense and efficient offense give them a 72% edge over Clemson. Can the Tigers slow down the Gators' balanced attack?
mm26-s-r2-g22Vanderbilt Commodores vs Nebraska CornhuskersVanderbilt Commodores (#5)72.0%Vanderbilt's elite offense and strong defense give them a 72% edge over Nebraska in a high-stakes clash of SEC and B10 powerhouses.
mm26-s-r2-g32North Carolina Tar Heels vs Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois Fighting Illini (#3)72.0%Illinois' top-tier offense and defense give them a 72% edge over North Carolina. They feast on turnovers and dominate the boards. Can UNC's deep bench and clutch wins hold up?
mm26-s-r2-g42Saint Mary's Gaels vs Houston CougarsHouston Cougars (#2)68.0%Saint Mary's defense holds up, but Houston's offense and inside game too much. 68% win for Houston.
mm26-w-r2-g12Arizona Wildcats vs Utah State AggiesArizona Wildcats (#1)82.0%Arizona's elite defense and shooting prowess gives them a 72% chance to advance against Utah St. in a close battle.
mm26-w-r2-g22Wisconsin Badgers vs Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas Razorbacks (#4)72.0%Arkansas' superior offensive efficiency and elite pace give them a 72% edge over Wisconsin, which struggles to handle pressure.
mm26-w-r2-g32BYU Cougars vs Gonzaga BulldogsGonzaga Bulldogs (#3)83.0%Gonzaga's elite defense and higher efficiency make them strong favorites, 72% to win. BYU's offense can't keep up with the Bulldogs' pace.
mm26-w-r2-g42Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs Purdue BoilermakersPurdue Boilermakers (#2)72.0%Purdue's offensive firepower vs. Miami's defense: 72% win for Purdue.
mm26-e-r3-g13Duke Blue Devils vs St. John's Red StormDuke Blue Devils (#1)89.0%Duke's elite defense and size dominate St. John's 72% win. A 24-13 edge in key factors makes this a no-brainer.
mm26-e-r3-g23Michigan State Spartans vs UConn HuskiesUConn Huskies (#2)74.0%UConn's superior defense and shooting edge Michigan State in a tight 72% win. Can MSU's playmakers handle the pressure?
mm26-mw-r3-g13Michigan Wolverines vs Alabama Crimson TideMichigan Wolverines (#1)72.0%Michigan's defense and depth give them a 72% edge over Alabama's struggling defense. 72% win
mm26-mw-r3-g23Virginia Cavaliers vs Iowa State CyclonesIowa State Cyclones (#2)72.0%Iowa St. takes down Virginia with a blistering offensive efficiency and a dominant defense. 72% win probability.
mm26-s-r3-g13Florida Gators vs Vanderbilt CommodoresFlorida Gators (#1)82.0%Florida's elite defense and balanced attack give them 72% win odds over Vanderbilt in a high-stakes showdown.
mm26-s-r3-g23Illinois Fighting Illini vs Houston CougarsIllinois Fighting Illini (#3)72.0%Illinois' elite offense meets Houston's elite defense in a high-octane clash. 72% win for Illinois.
mm26-w-r3-g13Arizona Wildcats vs Arkansas RazorbacksArizona Wildcats (#1)72.0%Arizona's elite defense and balanced offense gives them a 72% chance to advance over Arkansas. The Wildcats' elite defensive efficiency and top-10 offensive rating tip the scales.
mm26-w-r3-g23Gonzaga Bulldogs vs Purdue BoilermakersGonzaga Bulldogs (#3)72.0%Gonzaga's defense clashes with Purdue's high-octane offense in a 72% win for the Bulldogs.
mm26-e-r4-g14Duke Blue Devils vs UConn HuskiesDuke Blue Devils (#1)72.0%Duke's elite defense and explosive offense give them a 72% edge over UConn. Blue Devils can't be stopped, Huskies can't handle it.
mm26-mw-r4-g14Michigan Wolverines vs Iowa State CyclonesMichigan Wolverines (#1)78.0%Michigan dominates with elite defense and firepower. 72% win chance. #NCAATournament
mm26-s-r4-g14Florida Gators vs Illinois Fighting IlliniFlorida Gators (#1)73.0%Florida's elite defense vs Illinois' high-octane offense: 72% win for the Gators
mm26-w-r4-g14Arizona Wildcats vs Gonzaga BulldogsArizona Wildcats (#1)72.0%Arizona's defense and experience tilt this 72% win. A top-4 D vs a mid-tier O.
mm26-ff-g15Duke Blue Devils vs Arizona WildcatsDuke Blue Devils (#1)85.0%Duke's relentless defense and elite offensive efficiency make them heavy favorites. 72% win chance.
mm26-ff-g25Florida Gators vs Michigan WolverinesFlorida Gators (#1)72.0%Florida’s defense vs. Michigan’s offense: 72% win for the Gators. Can they stop the Wolverines’ high-octane attack?
mm26-championship6Duke Blue Devils vs Florida GatorsDuke Blue Devils (#1)72.0%Duke's elite defense and explosive offense make them a 72% favorite against Florida's high-octane attack in a high-stakes showdown.